Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas attends a Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) central committee meeting in the West Bank city of Ramallah Oct. 24, 2009. (Fadi Arouri/Reuters)

Is Mahmoud Abbas really ready to quit this time?

Worn out has-been or drama queen? Interpretations of the Palestinian president's threat to quit vary greatly.

By Matt Beynon Rees - GlobalPost
Published: November 12, 2009 08:35 ET
Updated: November 20, 2009 16:27 ET

JERUSALEM — Sometimes a quitter really does quit for good. 

The Palestinian Authority president, Mahmoud Abbas, announced last week that he wouldn’t run for re-election in the proposed January elections. Back when he was Yasser Arafat’s deputy in the Palestine Liberation Organization, Abbas sulked off to his home in the Persian Gulf several times. As Arafat’s prime minister, he quit in the middle of the intifada, accusing the Palestinian leader of undermining him and slamming the U.S. for failing to back him fully.

Each time, he slipped back from exile, until he took over from Arafat on his death and was elected to office, in January 2005. But the 74-year-old now says that he’s exhausted by the political events of this past year, particularly the failure of the Obama administration to pressure Israel on continued settlement-building in the West Bank.

At first, Abbas’s announcement was interpreted as a ploy to press Washington and the Israelis. Israeli, European and Arab leaders called Abbas to beg him to stay on. The West has long banked on Abbas, one of the formulators of the Oslo Peace Accords, as the best hope for a deal with Israel. If he were to go, things might look bleak for peace. (Not that they don’t look bleak right now.)

Despite the phone calls to Ramallah, most leaders assessed Abbas’s move as a tactic rather than a genuine expression of finality — like an actress pouting in her trailer until the director strokes her ego. After all, Abbas said only that he wouldn’t run in the January elections. It’s far from certain that those elections will be held, because Hamas won’t allow a poll in the Gaza Strip, which it controls. That would leave Abbas in office, in spite of his announcement.

Then Palestinian officials started talking to local and international media about what they claimed were Abbas’ true feelings. To sum up: He’s really had it with the Israeli government’s intransigence, and the way the U.S. backed down over settlements was the last straw.

Abbas’ supporters added that if he were to quit, the entire Palestinian Authority might collapse. It is, after all, fairly unloved among Palestinians. The only politician to have told his aides he would run to replace Abbas, Marwan Barghouti, is serving a series of life sentences in an Israeli prison. There are also plenty of Palestinian leaders who hanker for the old days of backroom political deals and lucrative private trade monopolies, which were nixed by Abbas and his Prime Minister, Salaam Fayyad, a U.S.-trained economist.

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Posted by Robbie on November 13, 2009 16:27 ET

You never miss the water until the well runs dry.

There should be no resumption of talks until the building of settlements stop for good.

Posted by judgmentlady on November 14, 2009 01:49 ET

"the best hope for a deal with Israel?" Any one who still believes Israel will make a deal is not paying attention or moves in a different orbit. Years ago Netanyahu remarked that their conflict is over 2000 years old and they can last 2000 more. The Zionist dream is to regain all of ancient Israel and have no intention of stopping. The idea that the sole motivation is a refuge from harassment and atrocities is way off the mark. Israel does well financially every where, except for Hitler their historical atrocities are no different from those suffered by all kinds of people globally due to invaders and tyrants. And even Hitler's horror caused the death of well beyond six million Jews, it was a global historical holocaust. Compared to the disappearance of many races and people Jews managed to survive as a people and no argument they should have a home of their own as a final solution not extermination. There will be only one way to deal with the situation and that is to have the UN declare the occupied land a Protectorate to be administered by US and an Arab nation with the responsibility of preparing Palestine for independent government, removing settler and Palestinian militants and declare a Palestinian State. Israel will refuse as will some Arab extremist but the UN has ways such as stop all aid of any kind...and so on....Most of all lets get the US out of the Middle and stop financing the present situation.

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