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Opinion: Sorry, Britain. China is America's new BFF.
Okay, now for the serious cases:
Britain: As the originator of the phrase, Churchill described the "special relationship" in the famous 1946 Iron Curtain speech as based on the "growing friendship and mutual understanding between our two vast but kindred systems of society."
Even in 1946, though, what made the relationship particularly special to Churchill was the access it afforded the fading British Empire to the post-War superpower. As many historians have noted, early 20th century America wound up financing the Empire's debt much the way China now underpins our own. Churchill knew Britain's only realistic "exit strategy" from Empire, short of total collapse, depended on tethering itself to America.
Still, anachronism that it is, the phrase "special relationship" gets rolled out by journalists each time an "Anglo-American summit" occurs. But it has lost its luster on this side of the Atlantic. These days, the "special relationship, legacy edition" still has enough juice in it to win Prime Minister Gordon Brown the honor of addressing a joint session of Congress, as he did earlier this month. It also gets you, say, first crack at the Military Governor of Basra job. But could America survive without Britain? Yes. Britain is (still) yesterday's man.
Israel: As the recipient of the largest share of U.S. foreign aid, and one of the very few allies allowed to buy top-of-the-line American weapons technology, Israel certainly has to be considered in any serious examination of the "special relationship" question. Frequently cited as America's closest ally in the Middle East, Israel returns the largesse in the form of intelligence on the Arab world. Sympathy for Israel runs deep in America.
Like all relationships, there are upsides and downsides. U.S. support for Israel is seized upon by Islamic militant groups like Al Qaeda to recruit adherents and justify terrorism, and America often finds itself isolated by its support for Israel, as the recent Israeli-Hamas war showed.
Still, Israeli influence in Washington has no match, a fact not even a British diplomat would dispute. Many conspiracy theorists go overboard in describing what the registered pro-Israel lobby group AIPAC can accomplish. But its power is real. The New York Times describes it as "the envy of other lobbies" and many regard it as the most powerful in Washington.
A recent example of its muscle: Charles Freeman, a career diplomat who until recently was President Obama's pick as head of the National Intelligence Council, blamed "the Israel Lobby" for engineering his downfall based on "a barrage of libelous distortions." AIPAC, of course, denies this, and Israeli officials deal with questions about its U.S. influence the same way it handles inquires about its nuclear arsenal. No comment. In the parlance of diplomacy, that's called strategic ambiguity.
So if Israel is a useful and effective ally, albeit with sharp elbows, it's hardly a make or break friendship. Being a special case is different than having a Special Relationship, and they still need us more than we need them.
The fact is, there is only one nation on earth right now that passes the "can't live without" test. That nation is China. The question, of course, is whether we can learn to live with it, too.
Michael Moran is Executive Editor of CFR.org, website of the Council on Foreign Relations.
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