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Africa: Cup of Nation 2012 to kick off later this week

The 28th African Cup of Nation 2012 begins this Saturday.
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Senegalese Nguirane Ndao (L) vies with Sudanese Khalifa during their friendly football match ahead of the African Cup of Nations 2012 on Jan. 12, 2012 in Dakar. (Seyllou/AFP/Getty Images)

NAIROBI, Kenya — Africa's football fest returns!

Read more on GlobalPost: South African soccer comes a long way

Later this week the 2012 Africa Cup of Nations kicks off.

The continent's premier footballing spectacle will draw in millions of viewers and listeners across Africa and the rest of the world.

Let's ignore for the moment that one of the co-hosts is the horribly oppressive and corrupt Equatorial Guinea — and let's also try to make sure that hosting a football tournament doesn't whitewash an appalling human rights record — and look forward instead to some great football.

Read more on GlobalPost: It's a Messi World

The official fixtures list is here.

The BBC Sports website will have comprehensive coverage.

And for a thoughtful primer on football in Africa have a read of this from Britain's Guardian newspaper.

In the Guardian's recent sport blog post "The Question: is African football progressing?" Jonathan Wilson concludes:

"The positive spin is that there is a greater breadth of talent in Africa than ever before, that there are now a couple of dozen decent sides and that success isn't restricted to the usual five or six nations. When we heard that before, in 2006, it was only half true. "

 

Read more on GlobalPost: Messi wins 2011 FIFA Player of the Year award (VIDEO)

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Mozambique: Flood warning issued by authorities

Mozambican authorities urge citizens to flee flood-prone areas.
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Semi-submerged houses are seen Jan. 15, 2008 in Chimuara, Quelimane district of central Mozambique after floods took place in three river basins. More than 70,000 people have been resettled, particularly in schools and other public buildings. Overall, the southern African country, which declared a red alert last Jan. 3, is gearing up to evacuate more than 200,000 people. (Carlos Litulo/AFP/Getty Images)

NAIROBI, Kenya — Back in 2000 catastrophic flooding in Mozambique killed hundreds of people.

It was the worst flooding the coastal country had seen in 30 years and the first natural disaster of the new millennium.

Now as a seasonal tropical storm approaches authorities are warning people to flee the low-lying flood-prone areas of southern and central
Mozambique.

Read more on GlobalPost: "Flesh-eating bananas" hoax goes viral in Mozambique

Already some streets in the capital Maputo have flooded and huge 20-foot waves have been reported off the coast.

State-run radio has reported that the southern town of Xai-Xai, which bore the brunt of the disaster in 2000, is underwater and electricityhas been cut-off.

Read more on GlobalPost: What's ahead for 2012 in Africa

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Somalia News: Enough Project analyzes Somalia-Kenya conflict

An influential think tank puts out an expert analysis of the Kenyan invasion of Somalia.
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A Kenyan Defence Force soldier is pictured in Ras Kamboni, southern Somalia on December 13, 2011. (Carl de Souza/AFP/Getty Images)

NAIROBI, Kenya — The Enough Project is a part of the Center for American Progress, a progressive think tank in Washington. Enough is dedicated to combating genocide and crimes against humanity.

Enough's shrewd use of actual experts, as opposed to simply impassioned advocates, is paying off with what is an increasingly impressive catalogue of analytical reports.

More from GlobalPost: Enough Project praises US special representative to Congo

In "After the Kenyan Invasion," author Ken Menkhaus, a professor at Davidson College, looks at Kenya's recent invasion of Somalia and the dangers it poses for Kenya, Somalia and the region.

Related: Kenyan air strikes kill ’60 or more’ Somali militants

Here's an excerpt from the introduction which warns of the risks Kenya has taken by sending troops into Somalia:

Intervention strategies that plan the war but not the peace will fail. Indifference to or wishful thinking about the crafting of a post-intervention political order guarantees disorder, and can leave both the occupied country and the intervening power worse off than before.

Kenya risks this fate in southern Somalia, where its armed forces are currently engaged in an operation against the jihadi group al-Shabaab in the Jubbaland border region. Almost three months into the offensive, which has at times been bogged down in a combination of rainy season mud and political indecision, there is still little indication that Kenya or anyone else has a viable plan for who will govern this highly unstable and contested region if and when Shabaab is ousted. Unless this question is clearly and effectively addressed Kenya is not likely to get what it wants—a more stable and secure border area.

Instead, its offensive could produce destabilizing clan clashes over the seaport of Kismayo. Aggrieved clans and communities could turn to Shabaab, reinvigorating a jihadi group in crisis. And the consequences of this combination of developments are likely to spill over into Kenya, affecting both the troubled border area and the Kenyan capital, Nairobi.

The stakes are exceptionally high for Kenya, which has much to lose if this operation fails. 

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Liberia News: Clinton attends Johnson-Sirleaf inauguration

Secretary Hillary Clinton applies an official stamp of approval to the president's disputed re-election.
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US Secretary Clinton (R) and Liberian President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf speak to the press after a private bilateral meeting at the Department of State. June 23, 2011, in Washington, DC. (Paul J. Richards/AFP/Getty Images)

NAIROBI, Kenya — Hilary Clinton is personally applying the US's seal of approval on Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf's disputed re-election as president of Liberia by showing up in person in the capital, Monrovia, at the start of a mini-tour of Africa that will also include stops in Ivory Coast, Togo and Cape Verde.

More from GlobalPost: Liberia president faces a tough second term

The link between America and Liberia is an odd and conflicted one, stemming from the export of freed black slaves to West Africa in the 19th century and resulting in a contemporary accent that is like talking to a slurring, inebriated denizen of the Deep South. It is also, almost, entirely one-sided, as this passage from Denis Johnson's 1990 Esquire article "The Civil War in Hell" points out:

The US enjoys an almost mystical veneration in the region. Liberians don't know that most Americans couldn't guess on which of the seven continents they actually reside, that images of their war have rarely been shown on US television, that their troubles have scarcely been mentioned on US radio. They can't understand why the Americans won't send in troops, or call for an interim government, or offer to host peace talks. They don't understand that among Americans they have no constituency, that even among black congressmen they have few advocates.

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Kenya News: High Court delays election date until 2013

Well-paid lawmakers vote to ignore the constitution and delay elections once again.
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A Kenyan voter walks out of a polling station, past an armed policeman on August 4, 2010 after she cast her vote at a primary school within the Mathare slum, in Nairobi in the ongoing constitutional referendum. Kenyans voted Wednesday on a proposed constitution to make their institutions more democratic amid tight security aimed at preventing a repeat of deadly post-election violence in 2007-8. Backed by President Mwai Kibaki and Prime Minister Raila Odinga, the 'yes' vote has led opinion polls despite a feisty 'no' campaign which has stigmatised the text as allowing abortion and harming certain tribes on land issues. (Tony Karumba/AFP/Getty Images)

NAIROBI, Kenya — Eighteen months ago, Kenyans voted for a new constitution.

It was a moment of hope, particularly since the last time they had voted it triggered political violence that split the country along ethnic lines and left over 1,100 people dead, 300,000 homeless and — latterly — six Kenyan men facing possible trial for crimes against humanity at the International Criminal Court.

More from GlobalPost: Kenya glued to International Criminal Court proceedings

Among various provisions in the new constitution was the ruling that future elections should be held in August. Not so, said the MPs who are desperate to continue drawing their huge salaries (Kenyan lawmakers are the world's best paid) until the final moments of the terms they won in the bloody aftermath of the 2007 polls. And not so, said the High Court, which has issued a ruling to a surprised country that elections might not happen until March 2013.

Related: Kenya passes new constitution

The timing of the vote is not as important as the willingness to flout the new constitution that the High Court ruling shows. This is worrying because the constitution is precisely supposed to prevent a repeat of the violence of early 2008.

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Nigeria News: Oil strikes called off by main unions (VIDEO)

Nigerian unions call off their week-long strike as soldiers intervene protests with tear gas.
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A soldier stands next to protesters at Ojota district in Lagos on Jan. 16, 2012. Nigerian security forces fired tear gas and shot into the air Monday to disperse around 300 protesters in Lagos as authorities moved to prevent demonstrations in various parts of the country. Nigerian unions announced on Jan. 16 they were suspending a week-old nationwide strike over fuel prices which has shut down Africa's most populous nation and brought tens of thousands out in protest. (Pius Utomi Ekpei /AFP/Getty Images)

NAIROBI, Kenya — President Goodluck Jonathan's gamble in reducing the cost of gasoline at the pump seemed to have paid off on Monday as unions called off their week-long strike in protest at the removal of fuel subsidies.

The decision by the union was justified on the grounds that the protests — and, more importantly, the government's response to them — might cost lives.

Read more on GlobalPost: Goodluck backs down on fuel price hikes

This fear appeared well-founded as soldiers fired into the air and used tear gas to disperse crowds.

The main unions also claimed success saying that no Nigerian government would take the people for granted again but such crowing seems a touch premature as the people-driven Occupy Nigeria protests continued across the country, irrespective of what the unions say.

Read more on GlobalPost: Occupy Nigeria protest in Ibadan

It remains to be seen whether ordinary Nigerians will be bought off by a small reduction in the price of petrol.

There were some other worrying events on Monday as journalists reported being harassed and CNN said that its bureau was entered "unannounced" by security services.

Here's a video on the latest reaction of Nigerian citizens:

Nigerian President Slashes Fuel Prices
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Rwanda News: FDLR commander Leodomir Mugaragu killed in Congo

Blogger reports that Rwandan special forces recently assassinated a senior FDLR commander named Leodomir Mugaragu.
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A Rwandan Hutu Rebel of the FDLR (Democratic Force for the Liberation of Rwanda) walks through dense forest on Feb. 6, 2009 outside Pinga, 150 kms north west of Goma. Rwandan soldiers of the RDF (Rwandan Defence Force) have advanced into previously held rebel positions. A joint operation between Congolese and Rwandan soldiers has forced the rebels to retreat into the bush. (Lionel Healing/AFP/Getty Images)

NAIROBI, Kenya — For nearly 18 years some of the Hutu commanders responsible for organizing and orchestrating the Rwanda genocide have been hiding out in eastern Congo, preying on local villagers and plotting the downfall of President Paul Kagame's Tutsi-led government.

The Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda (FDLR) have not posed much of an existential threat to modern Rwanda for more than a decade yet they persist, and their survival is an affront to Kagame whose rebel forces halted the 1994 genocide.

A court in Rwanda recently convicted 22 people of having links to the FDLR and being responsible for a spate of grenade attacks in the capital.

Read more on GlobalPost: FDLR attack kills 26 people

The FDLR spends much of its time nowadays battling other militias for control of lucrative mines in eastern Congo or carrying out horrific attacks of rape and pillage.

But Kigali has not forgotten the FDLR nor especially its few remaining commanders who were directly involved in the genocidal attempt to wipe out the Tutsis.

More on GlobalPost: On-the-ground look at Rwanda now (PHOTOS)

According to Jason Stearns writing on his influential CongoSiasa blog a squad of Rwandan special forces recently assassinated a senior FDLR commander named Leodomir Mugaragu:

"On Wednesday, 11 January, a group of soldiers — some reliable reports claim they were a unit of Rwandan special forces, guided by the FDC - penetrated into the FDLR headquarters in Walikale and ambushed FDLR leaders around a fire. They killed the FDLR chief of staff Brigadier Leodomir Mugaragu. The overall FDLR commander General Mudacumura was also apparently present but was able to escape.

"Mugaragu, aka Leon Manzi, was one of the only remaining FDLR commanders with concrete allegations against him of involvement in the 1994 genocide. According to one report, he was a major and battalion commander in 1994 in Ruhengeri, where he was involved in mobilizing militias and setting up roadblocks to kill Tutsi."

If true, the killing of Mugaragu is another serious blow to the increasingly weak FDLR but the downside, as Stearns points out, is the FDLR's tendency to exact revenge on local people who it accuses of supporting its enemies.

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Nigeria News: Goodluck backs down on fuel price hikes

Nigeria's President Goodluck Jonathan announced he will reinstate a partial subsidy.
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People gather during a protest against the scrapping of oil subsidy at Gani Fawehinmi Park, Ojota in Lagos on Jan. 12, 2012. Nigerian oil workers vowed Thursday to begin shutting down production of Africa's top crude exporter, piling intense pressure on the government ahead of talks on the fourth day of a nationwide strike. (Pius Utomi Ekpei/AFP/Getty Images)

NAIROBI, Kenya — Facing union strikes and street protests over his decision to remove fuel subsidies Nigeria's President Goodluck Jonathan has caved in, a bit.

When the president announced an end to fuel subsidies on New Year's Day the price of petrol at the pump more than doubled triggering nationwide strikes and protests that have brought the West African nation to a halt.

Read more on GlobalPost: Nigeria's fuel protests suspended for weekend talks

Now, as the strikes enter their second week, Jonathan has announced that a partial subsidy will be reinstated.

Petrol prices went from 65 naira ($0.40) to 140 when the subsidy was removed and on Monday it was announced that prices would be reduced by 30 percent in recognition, said the government, of the "hardships being suffered" by the people.

Read more on GlobalPost: Deadly clashes as gas price strike shuts down Nigeria

Petrol will now cost 97 naira a liter.

The announcement came after weekend talks with unions collapsed.

It is unclear whether the partial backtrack will be enough to appease the angry people and stave off the protests.

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Pirate News: Piracy boosts Somalia economy

A new study finds, piracy may be helping, not hurting, the economy in Somalia.
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A group of displaced Somalis await to return home. (MOHAMED ABDIWAHAB/AFP/Getty Images)

NAIROBI, Kenya — Piracy is fuelling economic growth in Somalia, according to a new report from the Royal Institute of International Affairs in London.

Using satellite imagery and night-time light emissions to plot the growth and development of coastal towns over a number of years, Dr Anja Shortland finds that "the positive economic impacts of piracy are widespread" and argues against a military solution to piracy, as this would damage the fragile economies of coastal communities.

Read more from GlobalPost: Somali pirates attack EU warship Patino

Much of the economic benefits seem to be accruing to larger towns, regional centers like Bosasso and Garowe, while smaller seaside villages miss out.

However, the strength of clan-family connections means that ransom money is widely distributed helping to boost local markets, wages, transport and construction.

Read more from GlobalPost: Somali pirates coverage shows their human side

Shortland, a development economist from Brunel University, uses her study to argue — as do many other experts on the subject — that naval warships are not the solution to piracy, rather a local and land-based answer must be found by providing economic alternatives to impoverished coastal communities.

 

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South Sudan News: Deadly cattle raids funded from the US?

UN peacekeepers did nothing as civilians were attacked in cattle raids by tribal warriors.
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A herdsman from the Nuer tribe stands among his cattle at a cattle-camp, near Nyal, in South Sudan on Nov. 11, 2011. One of Africa's longest-running wars left this land in ruins and battling a bitter legacy that threatens prospects for peace — a stockpile of weapons spurring cattle raids and banditry. (Tony Karumba/AFP/Getty Images)

NAIROBI, Kenya — Hundreds, perhaps even thousands, of people were slaughtered when an army of tribal warriors swept through the town of Pibor over New Year.

A helpless force of UN peacekeepers did nothing as men, women and children who had fled into the bush were hunted down and shot dead.

Pibor town was burned and looted.

Read more on GlobalPost: South Sudan UN humanitarian operation launched

Now the New York Times has returned from Pibor with the first fully-reported account of what happened, and why.

Although common in South Sudan tribal battles and cattle raiding seem terribly far away, utterly disconnected from the daily lived reality of someone in the US.

But as the article makes clear this is not the case:

"The attack was presaged by a fund-raising drive for the Nuer militia in the United States — a troubling sign that behind the raiders toting Kalashnikovs and singing war songs was an active back office half a world away. Gai Bol Thong, a Nuer refugee in Seattle who helped write the militia’s statement, said he had led an effort to cobble together about $45,000 from South Sudanese living abroad for the warriors’ food and medicine.

“We mean what we say,” he said in an interview. “We kill everybody. We are tired of them.” (He later scaled back and said he meant they would kill Murle warriors, not civilians.)"

Read more on GlobalPost: 3,000 dead in Pibor County ethnic massacre

So a refugee in Seattle admits to fund-raising for a 6,000-strong army of young men with AK-47s who go on a rampage to steal cattle and kill hundreds of their tribal rivals in a bid to wipe them out while simultaneously destabilizing one of the US's newest allies?

Mr. Gai Bol Thong might not find himself quite so welcome in the US after this admission.

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