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Letter from London: The challenged chancellor

LONDON — The British establishment loves its traditions.  Once a year, the Chancellor of the Exchequer puts on his tuxedo and goes for dinner and to give a speech at the Mansion House, official residence of the City of London's Mayor. He grabbed headlines with a UK stimulus. But he still hasn’t recovered from favoring fat cats over grannies.
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Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer heads for the House of Commons to deliver his budget speech (tucked away in the little red box.) (CARL COURT/AFP/Getty Images)

Budgets are inherently dull. Outside the Beltway do many Americans pay attention when the President sends his annual budget request to Congress?

But here in Britain, no mater how dull the details,  there are weeks of speculation about what the annual budget will contain in terms of taxes and measures to encourage this or that part of the economy. On the day itself, the 24 hour news stations go wall to wall with the story, statistics fly like a seminar in business school.

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British austerity cuts: rhetoric and reality

An independent report notes that most of the government's cuts have yet to come into effect.
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Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne, the global leader in voluntary austerity cuts. A new report shows that for all his rhetoric only a tiny number of cuts have actually been put in place - but still enough to drag Britain into recession. (JUSTIN TALLIS/AFP/Getty Images)

Unemployment is up, the economy contracted in the last quarter, so austerity cuts are biting, right?

That has been the tone of not only my reporting in the last year but all reporting about the British economy. It has been the framework for political criticism by the opposition Labour party.  Its mantra has been "too far, too fast."

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British Bank chief gives back million pound bonus

Stephen Hester, CEO of Royal Bank of Scotland, bows to public pressure
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Stephen Hester, ceo of Royal Bank of Scotland (FACUNDO ARRIZABALAGA/AFP/Getty Images)

When a banker gives back a seven-figure bonus that's news. Of course, there is a story attached.

Stephen Hester, is head of RBS, Britain's largest bank and epicenter of the banking crisis in 2008. The British government bailed out the ultimate too big to fail institution and that means the British taxpayer owns 83 percent of the bank.

Hester was recruited by the government of Labour's Gordon Brown to run the bank after the previous management was forced out as the price of the rescue. He took a paycut to try and turn the bank around. He has by all accounts done a reasonable job.

But to wipe debt off the bank's books he has had to shed staff. I blogged about the latest cuts last week.

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Austerity bites, pt. 2

Second thoughts about austerity cuts as the cure for what ails Europe's economies
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Retired hedge fund manager George Soros at Davos today. He expressed concern that the euro zone's austerity policies would create social unrest that would engulf Europe. (VINCENZO PINTO/AFP/Getty Images)

Austerity cuts seems to be the theme of my blog posts today. Heavily indebted European governments need to "deleverage," as the current buzz word has it, but how far and, crucially, how fast?

In Britain, despite warnings from the opposition Labour Party about the pace and size of cuts doing more harm than good, Britain's Conservative-led coalition government has reduced the size of government spending with abandon. Predictably Prime Minister David Cameron's austerity program has landed the country on the door-step of a double-dip recession. The economy contracted in the last quarter of 2011 by 0.2 percent.

At Prime Minister's Question Time today, Cameron contemptuously swatted away criticism from Labour leader Ed Miliband. But that is party politics. The IMF's chief economist Olivier Blanchard is no left-wing politician and he told the BBC today it would be wise for Cameron and his Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne to slow down the pace of the cuts.

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Merkel speaks

German Chancellor on EU's future and the prospects for Greece
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German Chancellor Angela Merkel before today's weekly cabinet meeting in Berlin (Sean Gallup/AFP/Getty Images)

Angela Merkel has become the most important politician in Europe.  She rarely speaks candidly to the press so these comments given to a consortium of liberal newspapers including The Guardian are worth paying attention to:

Within the wider euro zone debt crisis she considers Greece, "a special case where, despite all the efforts that have been made, neither the Greeks themselves nor the international community have yet managed to stabilize the situation." 

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British Austerity - the alternative to dealing with debt reduction - isn't working either

Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne, admits to Parliament his deficit reduction plan has run off the rails.
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Chancellor of the Exchequer contemplates the numbers on his way to Parliament today (BEN STANSALL/AFP/Getty Images)
Britain's austerity plan hits the buffers. Borrowing is going up and so is unemployment. Recession is a real possibility, the government admits
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UK unemployment figures up sharply

A jump of almost half a percent in three months brings the unemployment rate to 8.1 percent, the highest total in 17 years
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Many more visits to the local job center are in store for Britons as unemployment reaches a 17 year high. (BEN STANSALL/AFP/Getty Images)

There are now 2.5 million people counted as unemployed in Britain. Almost a quarter of the working age population (16 -64) were inactive between June and August, the period during which today's figures were compiled.

The sharp jump in the jobless rate is both the least surprising and most shocking economic news the UK has seen since Prime Minister David Cameron's coalition government took office in May 2010.

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Private sector Keynesianism: Britain's way forward?

While Britain's big companies sit on cash the government plans to go deeper into hock to loan money to small business

 

1. First Question of the Day:

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Economy and foxy knoxy fight for public's attention

From the serious to the realllllly serious news of the day
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Amanda Knox is escorted to her appeal hearing at Perugia's Court of Appeal on October 3, 2011 in Perugia, Italy. (Oli Scarff/AFP/Getty Images)
Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer runs a new policy up the flagpole but most eyes in Britain, as in Italy, the United States and the globalized world of gawking are on a courtroom in Perugia to see if Amanda Knox aka Foxy Knoxy, wins her appeal
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